Sep 26 (Renewables Now) - Europe could have 323 GW of installed wind capacity by 2030, generating 30% of its electricity demand, according to reports released today by industry group WindEurope.
The estimates come from the central scenario of WindEurope's report, called Wind energy in Europe: Scenarios for 2030, and are dependent on the right policies being in place, including greater certainty on long-term "revenue stability", progress on the system integration of renewables, and policy commitments on electrification.
The figure of 323 GW, comprised of 253 GW onshore and 70 GW offshore, would mark a rise from the 160 GW installed as at the end of 2016 and would also include the repowering or life-extension of a large part of the existing capacity.
A summary of the scenarios is in the table below.
|Low Scenario||Central Scenario||High Scenario|
|EU cumulative wind capacity||256 GW||323 GW||397 GW|
|Investments to 2030||EUR 147bn||EUR 239bn||EUR 351bn|
|Jobs in 2030||437,000||569,000||716,000|
|Share in EU power demand in 2030||21.6%||29.6%||37.6%|
According to WindEurope's Outlook to 2020 report, wind installations could hit a record 14 GW in 2017 and average at 12.6 GW for the next four years, bringing Europe's installed capacity to 204 GW by 2020. Only six countries, Germany, the UK, France, Spain, Netherlands and Belgium, however, will account for most of the additions.
"Wind energy is now firmly established as the cheapest form of new power generation," WindEurope chief executive Giles Dickson said, adding that the outlook from 2020 is uncertain. He called for binding and ambitious National Energy & Climate Action Plans that provide clarity on the volumes after 2020.