Poland’s Institute for Renewable Energy (IEO) expects the country’s solar photovoltaic (PV) capacity to reach 7.8 GW in 2025, surpassing the 2030 goal set in the National Plan for Energy and Climate.
The country’s total installed PV capacity neared 1.5 GW at the end of 2019 and it is expected to jump to 2.5 GW this year, the IEO said. For now, growth is being driven by micro-installations, which accounted for 640 MW of capacity additions in 2019 and 300 MW in the first quarter of 2020.
The institute expects to see a boom in large-scale solar in 2021 and 2022, when projects from three auctions will be put into operation. As compensation for the impact of the coronavirus pandemic, winners in the 2018 auction have been given until May 2021 to complete their projects.
Another auction is expected in the fourth quarter of 2020. It is planned to award 800 MW in the <1 MW category, and at least 700 MW in the >1 MW pot. This will add to the 1.7 GW of solar parks to be build as a result of auctions carried out in 2016-2019.
Thanks mainly to such renewable energy tenders, the share of large solar farms in total installed capacity is seen to rise to the level of micro-installations in 2022 and 2023. In 2023, the country’s PV capacity will hit 6.6 GW, IEO projects.
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